Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.242851 0.285312 0.335780 0.400985 0.484183 0.588452 7.317558e-01
2024-12-22 0.173745 0.222538 0.287978 0.385132 0.531255 0.753047 1.138072e+00
2024-12-29 0.141791 0.193422 0.269249 0.395027 0.612789 1.007877 1.882761e+00
2025-01-05 0.117003 0.166686 0.244469 0.384483 0.655029 1.225280 2.811666e+00
2025-01-12 0.102473 0.151517 0.232703 0.390061 0.727530 1.555870 4.541809e+00
2025-01-19 0.090113 0.137098 0.218330 0.385422 0.776519 1.876679 7.025098e+00
2025-01-26 0.082229 0.128579 0.212171 0.394654 0.862481 2.393336 1.236726e+01
2025-02-02 0.076477 0.122692 0.209449 0.410136 0.974438 3.151483 2.488388e+01
2025-02-09 0.071151 0.116677 0.205157 0.420625 1.080429 4.077935 5.450296e+01
2025-02-16 0.066840 0.111883 0.202347 0.433899 1.206542 5.398479 1.535165e+02
2025-02-23 0.062679 0.106778 0.197899 0.441633 1.321529 7.013678 5.893010e+02
2025-03-02 0.058754 0.101628 0.192438 0.445040 1.425436 8.979637 4.803806e+03
2025-03-09 0.054818 0.096090 0.185440 0.442869 1.511223 11.314635 6.539142e+06
2025-03-16 0.050858 0.090093 0.176523 0.432706 1.556696 13.610821 NaN
2025-03-23 0.048657 0.087523 0.175349 0.446889 1.744360 19.823916 NaN
2025-03-30 0.045400 0.082357 0.167062 0.435272 1.782097 23.966758 NaN
2025-04-06 0.043337 0.079569 0.164315 0.442110 1.944434 34.501444 NaN
2025-04-13 0.040942 0.075815 0.158572 0.436710 2.026059 45.226580 NaN
2025-04-20 0.039427 0.073875 0.157281 0.447645 2.244885 73.118644 NaN
2025-04-27 0.038291 0.072676 0.157787 0.465982 2.559146 141.116608 NaN
2025-05-04 0.037017 0.071032 0.156841 0.478426 2.854621 285.357516 NaN
2025-05-11 0.035927 0.069715 0.156623 0.494196 3.226802 749.106957 NaN
2025-05-18 0.034710 0.067986 0.154984 0.503397 3.561400 2371.149276 NaN